2013 Budget Round Up

New Build HousingSo the 2013 budget came and went. As usual reactions to the Chancellor’s fiscal measures have been both positive and negative. The construction industry, although on the surface, seems to have gained a boost, will it really pan out that way?

Let’s look at the two main areas:

  • infrastructure
  • housebuilding

Infrastructure

In the 2013 budget, George Osbourne reiterated his commitment to the £40billion guarantee scheme for the UK’s infrastructure. Although this scheme was announced in July 2012 only 2 projects thus far have benefited from it.

The Chancellor remained pretty vague when it came to how and where this money would be used over the coming year while the construction industry waited with bated breath to hear that specific projects and work had been identified for this money. It didn’t come.

In addition a further £3billion was allocated for roads and power stations but again a considerable lack of detail was presented.

Although this money is a welcome input to the industry, confidence remains low as to when and how this money will be spent or if it ever will!

Housebuilding

So, we now have £3.5billion to help first time buyers get on the property ladder. The housing industry is still struggling in terms of new build numbers and in terms of sales by the consumer. The Chancellors answer is to offer a loan of up to 20% of the cost of the property and in addition a mortgage-backed guarantee of up to 20% of the Loan to Value of the property. The only proviso being that the buyer has to have at least a 5% deposit. The limit of the property purchase price is capped at £600,000.

So why is this good? Well it is hoped this will stimulate the new build market, not only in sales but also to help generate new housing projects. The doubters are worried this may create reckless loaning or a false ‘bubble’ which will burst when the funding runs out.

However if these measures pan out, it will certainly help the buyer but will it really help the industry? Unlikely. I believe that the investment and stimulation needs to come further up the food chain, more towards the source, in order to get our housebuilders back on site.

At the moment the number of new build homes being built is around 90,000 a year. Predictions indicate a need for 230,000 a year. This is a huge deficit in numbers and one which I am not sure will be cured with a small and possibly very temporary pot of money for first time buyers.

I guess we will just have to wait and see…

Lobbyists push affordable housing for 2013 budget

Affordable Housing MarketWith only just over a week to go before the 2013 budget, lobbyists are still pressuring the government over their plans to support affordable housing in the UK over the coming year.

Both the CBI and British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) have been pushing for a clear commitment to build between 50-100,000 new homes over the next 3 years. Clearly new affordable homes do not come without significant cos,  so where is the money going to come from?

The CBI says their estimates of £1.25 billion for 50,000 affordable homes could be found from current spending, from savings within government departments and further sales of land and property plus additional funds from the wider economy.

The BCC estimates the spend needed would be £30 billion to ensure 100,000 new homes over the next 3 years but without growth in the affordable housing sector over the next six months, it may be necessary to borrow more to build these homes.

With the budget announcement due on March 20th it is unlikely these final pressures will affect any changes to the plan already decided by Mr Osbourne.

With the financial future of the UK still looking very vulnerable, the government has a very difficult job. The UK needs money in order to stimulate growth but on the flip side, this only serves to increase the already huge deficit we are facing.

Finding the balance between incentive and savings is an unenviable task for Mr Osbourne and one which is unlikely to suit everyone.

Many MP’s are unhappy that much of the public spending funds are already ring fenced which leaves little opportunity to successfully support other areas of the public sector which need more help.

New housing is essential to keep property at an affordable level but also to help employment in the construction sector.

It will certainly be interesting to hear whether the housing industry in particular, will reap some rewards from this year’s budget or continue to expect tough times ahead.